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LT

LEAP THERAPEUTICS, INC. (LPTX)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 EPS modestly beat a very light consensus: Diluted loss per share of $0.37 vs Wall Street consensus of -$0.38, a $0.01 beat; revenue remained non-existent for this pre-revenue biotech (consensus $0) . EPS consensus values from S&P Global.*
  • Operating discipline mixed: total operating expenses rose year over year, driven by higher R&D for the expanded DeFianCe Part B trial; G&A declined vs prior year. Cash fell to $32.7M, reflecting ~$14.5M operating cash outflow in the quarter .
  • Strategic pivot: management announced a ~50% workforce reduction to prioritize sirexatamab (DKN-01) in second-line CRC and advance FL-501 preclinically, and engaged a financial advisor to explore business development options—key potential catalysts alongside upcoming clinical data updates this quarter .
  • Clinical narrative strengthening: DeFianCe Part B continued to show statistically significant ORR and PFS benefits in DKK1-high and VEGF-naïve subgroups, supporting a registrational Phase 3 path; 42 patients remained on study (25 sirexatamab vs 17 control), suggesting further PFS maturation potential .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Clinically meaningful efficacy signals in targeted subgroups: “statistically significant higher ORR and longer PFS” in DKK1-high and VEGF-naïve second-line CRC patients; management expects additional data updates in the quarter .
    • Focused capital allocation: restructuring reduces workforce ~50% to concentrate resources on CRC and FL-501, potentially extending runway and sharpening execution .
    • Positive preclinical progress for FL-501: extended half-life, reduced clearance, and strong anti-cachexia activity vs clinical-stage benchmarks in preclinical models, reinforcing best-in-class aspirations .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Cash burn remains material: operating cash outflow of $14.5M drove cash down to $32.7M, highlighting financing/partnering needs for Phase 3 ambitions .
    • Higher R&D expense year over year: R&D rose to $12.9M (+$1.6M YoY) on trial expansion and activity, pressuring losses (net loss $15.4M vs $13.8M YoY) .
    • Limited near-term revenue visibility and market risks: company remains pre-revenue and cites risks including financing, Nasdaq compliance, and need for partnerships—potential overhangs until strategic actions or pivotal trial plans crystallize .

Financial Results

Income statement and balance sheet highlights (USD Millions, except per-share). Periods shown oldest → newest.

MetricQ1 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Net Loss ($)$13.820 $18.176 $15.431 $15.435
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.51) $(0.44) $(0.37) $(0.37)
R&D Expense ($)$11.299 $14.915 $13.112 $12.911
G&A Expense ($)$3.526 $2.940 $3.013 $3.006
Total OpEx ($)$14.825 $17.855 $16.125 $15.917
Cash & Equivalents ($)$54.921 $62.823 $47.249 $32.713

Revenue and margins

  • Revenue: none reported (pre-revenue biotech) .
  • Margins (EBITDA, EBIT, Net Income): not meaningful due to no revenue .

Cash flow (USD Millions)

MetricQ1 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Cash used in Operating Activities ($)$(15.516) $(15.600) $(15.512) $(14.480)
Net Change in Cash ($)$(15.722) $(15.656) $(15.574) $(14.536)

Select clinical KPIs referenced in Q1 update

KPIQ1 2025
Patients remaining on study drug (sirex vs control)25 vs 17
DeFianCe Part B efficacy (reference data)Statistically significant higher ORR and longer PFS in DKK1-high and VEGF-naïve subgroups

Estimate comparison (Q1 2025)

MetricConsensusActualDelta
EPS ($)$(0.38)*$(0.37) +$0.01 (beat)
Revenue ($M)$0.0*None reported

*Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Financial guidance (Revenue, EPS, OpEx, etc.)FY2025None providedNone providedMaintained (no formal guidance)
Strategy/ProgramsOngoingBroader pipeline resourcingPrioritize sirexatamab (CRC) and FL-501 preclinically; workforce -50%Refocus/Lowered spend
Business DevelopmentOngoingEngaged financial advisor to explore BD optionsNew/Expanded

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q1 2025 earnings call transcript was available in our corpus; we searched LPTX for “earnings-call-transcript” in the quarter and found none. We relied on the Q1 press release and related disclosures.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024, Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
R&D execution (sirexatamab)Q3: Part B enrollment completed; data expected mid-2025 . Q4: Updated Part B showed higher ORR and longer PFS in DKK1-high and VEGF-naïve; Phase 3 supported .Continued positive efficacy signals; data updates expected in the quarter .Improving evidence base; Phase 3 path reiterated
Business developmentQ4: Engaged leading financial advisor for sirexatamab .Exploring BD opportunities to advance sirexatamab; advisor engaged .Active partnering exploration
Cost actions/operating focusStrategic restructuring; ~50% workforce reduction to prioritize CRC and FL-501 .Increased cost discipline
FL-501 (GDF-15)Q4: AACR abstract accepted; plan for clinical trial in 2026 .Positive preclinical data presented at AACR (PK/clearance and anti-cachexia activity) .Continued progress toward 2026 clinic entry
Regulatory/Phase 3 pathQ4: Registrational Phase 3 supported by data .Phase 3 opportunity reiterated in CRC subgroups .Consistent Phase 3 narrative

Management Commentary

  • “In this difficult market environment, we focused our resources to position Leap to advance sirexatamab in CRC and FL-501 preclinically… I would like to personally thank all of our colleagues who have been impacted by this decision…” — Douglas E. Onsi, President & CEO .
  • “With 42 patients currently remaining on study drug… we continue to be optimistic about the maturing dataset in the full population and look forward to upcoming data updates this quarter.” — Douglas E. Onsi .
  • On DeFianCe Part B: updated data “demonstrates significantly higher ORR and longer PFS” in DKK1-high and VEGF-naïve subgroups, supporting a registrational Phase 3 trial .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q1 2025 earnings call transcript available in our document set; we searched for “earnings-call-transcript” for the quarter and found none. Management did host a KOL event focused on sirexatamab in second-line MSS CRC on April 23, 2025, indicating investor engagement on subgroup strategy and clinical positioning .

Estimates Context

  • EPS: Reported $(0.37) vs consensus $(0.38)—a $0.01 beat on minimal analyst coverage (1 estimate). Revenue: consensus $0; company reported no revenue, consistent with pre-revenue status . EPS and revenue consensus values from S&P Global.*
  • Coverage breadth remains limited (1 estimate), so estimate dispersion is minimal; near-term estimate revisions will likely hinge on upcoming DeFianCe data updates and clarity on Phase 3/BD pathways .
    *Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Slight EPS beat on lean coverage; financials remain dominated by R&D investment and cash burn (~$14.5M operating outflow) .
  • Cash of $32.7M underscores the importance of partnering or financing ahead of Phase 3; restructuring (-50% workforce) helps conserve capital while focusing on highest-ROI programs .
  • Clinical de-risking continues in targeted CRC subgroups (DKK1-high, VEGF-naïve), a credible path to registrational development and potential accelerated approval strategies .
  • Near-term stock catalysts: additional DeFianCe data updates this quarter, BD developments, and any regulatory feedback on Phase 3 design .
  • Risk factors remain: pre-revenue status, dependence on external capital/partners, and listing/compliance considerations cited in forward-looking statements .
  • Trading setup: momentum sensitive to clinical update cadence and strategic alternative outcomes; downside buffered by cash, upside levered to subgroup efficacy durability and BD execution .